Paulsen, previously the head investment strategist at the financial analysis firm Leuthold Group, created a metric he calls the "Walmart Recession Signal" (WRS). This gauge compares Walmart's share performance with the S&P Global Luxury Index, which includes 80 firms involved in high-end goods. He explained that since financial hardships initially affect those with lower earnings, a surge in Walmart's stock might signal an approaching economic contraction.
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